Osinbajo most likely Buhari’s successor, over Atiku, Others, survey reveals
- Analysis of the results indicated that the Osinbajo was the citizens’ choice for the next president of the federation -Prof Ike E. Ogba
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EKO HOT BLOG gathered that Vice President Yemi Osinbajo is the preferred candidate of Nigerians to succeed Muhammadu Buhari as Nigeria’s next president in 2023, according to a recent nationwide survey carried out by the Intellectual Forum on Politics and Governance (IFP&G).
In the survey, which was carried out by the group in February this year, VP Osinbajo is most likely to win a general election as he is the very popular choice of a large number of Nigerians.
“Analysis of the results clearly indicated that the Vice President Yemi Osinbajo was the citizens’ choice for the next president of the federation,” the group said in a statement signed by its secretary, Prof Ike E. Ogba.
The statement added that the group was established to support the critical analysis of various issues related to national development.
Nigerians were asked to choose their favourite among Osinbajo; former Lagos State governor and national leader of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Asiwaju Bola Tinubu; a former governor of Kano State, Rabiu Kwankwaso; and former vice president, Abubakar Atiku.
Although some other prominent politicians have since declared their intention to contest for the presidency in 2023, the group stated that Osinbajo, Tinubu, Kwankwaso and Atiku were selected on the basis of the politicians who were most likely to make a bid for the presidency at the time the survey was designed.
Other politicians who have since declared their bid to run for president include a former governor of Anambra State, Peter Obi; River State Governor Nyesom Wike, a former Senate President, Bukola Saraki, a former governor of Imo State and senator representing Imo West, Rochas Okorocha, minister of State for Education, Emeka Nwajiuba; Governor Yahaya Bello of Kogi State; a former governor of Ogun State, Senator Ibikunle Amosun; former Abia State governor and Chief Whip of the Senate, Senator Orji Kalu; among others.
Governor Kayode Fayemi of Ekiti State is reportedly going to declare officially to join the race for president after Ramadan.
The IFP&G poll result was based on the balanced random sample of 12,000 names selected from a database of registered voters, with the respondents spread across the states of the federation and all six geopolitical zones fully represented.
Aside from leading the final poll, as the citizens’ choice for the next president, the result analysis showed that Osinbajo polled almost twice the nearest challenger with 42.50 percent of the respondents selecting the vice president as their preferred choice, and 25.51 percent selected Abubakar Atiku as their preferred choice.
It added that 18.07 percent selected Rabiu Kwankwaso and 13.92 percent of the respondents selected Bola Tinubu as their preferred candidate.
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“It can be argued that if Bola Tinubu was not one of the selected candidates in this survey, the likelihood is that Prof. Yemi Osinbajo would have picked up most of the votes that is, the 13.92 percent who voted for Bola Tinubu, taking him well over the 50 percent mark which is enough to win any election going by past records of elections in Nigeria,” the group noted.
The results of the survey were also disaggregated into gender, state and geopolitical zones, the statement added.
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